Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | MONT -1000 IDHO +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -15.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -12.2 (-9.2) | 137.0 (+6.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -12.5 (-9.5) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -13.3 (-10.3) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -13.3 (-10.3) | 140.2 (+2.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-10 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#137) | -10.3 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#125) | -1.55 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#139) | -2.10 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#110) | 0.401 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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