Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -115 WIS -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -2.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.4 (+9.4) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.1 (+10.1) | 144.4 (+7.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.6 (+9.6) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.5 (+9.5) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | NEB 90 – 60 WIS |
| Jan 26, 2025 | WIS 83 – 55 NEB |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIS 88 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEB 73 – 63 WIS |
| Mar 6, 2022 | NEB 74 – 73 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 18-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#63) | 15.0 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#43) | 2.69 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#41) | 3.39 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#39) | 0.644 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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