Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -135 WIS +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +30 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -5.0 (+25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -4.5 (+25.5) | 152.9 (-2.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -4.5 (+25.5) | 159.2 (-9.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -5.9 (+24.1) | 149.2 (+0.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -5.8 (+24.2) | 150.2 (-0.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2025 | WIS 83 – 55 NEB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | NEB 80 – 72 WIS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIS 88 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEB 73 – 63 WIS |
| Mar 6, 2022 | NEB 74 – 73 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 16-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#41) | 12.0 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#9) | 1.40 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.23 (#12) | 2.22 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.685 (#6) | 0.584 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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