Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -250 NEB +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +16 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -9.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -7.9 (+8.1) | 142.6 (+17.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -8.3 (+7.7) | 142.4 (+17.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -8.5 (+7.5) | 143.4 (+16.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -7.7 (+8.3) | 143.2 (+16.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | NEB 90 – 60 WIS |
| Jan 26, 2025 | WIS 83 – 55 NEB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | NEB 80 – 72 WIS |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEB 73 – 63 WIS |
| Mar 6, 2022 | NEB 74 – 73 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 18-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#23) | 8.5 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#23) | 2.13 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#23) | 2.47 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#18) | 0.600 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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