Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Big Ten Conference · Kohl Center · January 26, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -7.5 Home covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money WIS -360 / NEB +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual WIS +28 138 Won
Massey WIS -8.8 (+19.2) — —
Massey Totals — 150.8 (-12.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIS -9.8 (+18.2) 148.7 (-10.7) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIS -9.4 (+18.6) 148.6 (-10.6) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -9.9 (+18.1) 147.0 (-9.0) 83% ✓
Baseline ML WIS -9.3 (+18.7) 147.9 (-9.9) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 11, 2025 NEB 90 – 60 WIS
Feb 2, 2024 NEB 80 – 72 WIS
Jan 6, 2024 WIS 88 – 72 NEB
Feb 11, 2023 NEB 73 – 63 WIS
Mar 6, 2022 NEB 74 – 73 WIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS NEB
Overall 27-10 21-14
Conference 13-7 7-13
Home 14-3 10-6
Away 6-5 5-7
Neutral 7-2 6-1
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 W4
Avg Pts For 80.1 76.0
Avg Pts Against 70.9 72.6
Massey 16.3 (#23) 10.8 (#55)
Bradley-Terry 2.88 (#22) 1.77 (#57)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.01 (#17) 2.61 (#49)
RPI 0.627 (#19) 0.589 (#44)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS NEB
FG% 47.1% 46.4%
3PT% 35.5% 33.2%
REB / G 35.3 36.2
OREB / G 9.2 9.4
AST / TO 1.44 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.4% 52.8%
TOV% 15.1% 17.4%
ORB% 29.0% 28.4%
FT Rate 31.5% 28.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 18.9%
DRB% 71.8% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 19.3%

Game Analysis

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