Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -14.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -13.3 (-14.3) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -13.6 (-14.6) | 148.6 (-1.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -13.2 (-14.2) | 148.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -12.7 (-13.7) | 149.3 (-2.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2025 | NEB 90 – 60 WIS |
| Jan 26, 2025 | WIS 83 – 55 NEB |
| Feb 2, 2024 | NEB 80 – 72 WIS |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIS 88 – 72 NEB |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NEB 73 – 63 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-12 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#26) | 0.7 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#6) | -0.08 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.73 (#13) | 0.40 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#8) | 0.468 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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