Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CP +700 UCI -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +14 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -15.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -14.4 (+0.4) | 132.6 (-0.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -14.6 (+0.6) | 130.4 (+1.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -14.8 (+0.8) | 130.7 (+1.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -14.7 (+0.7) | 132.3 (-0.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 17-3 |
| Home | 3-11 | 13-0 |
| Away | 0-16 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#330) | 8.2 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#330) | 1.40 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#332) | 1.76 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.386 (#341) | 0.584 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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