And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Ohio Valley Conference · Hyland Arena · February 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 128.5 Over
Money LIN +180 / WIU -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total LIN win
Actual WIU +8 150 Lost
Massey WIU -5.7 (-2.3)
Massey Totals 128.6 (+21.4)
Bradley-Terry 20%
Weighted B-T 10%
Efficiency Plus ML WIU -6.4 (-1.6) 130.8 (+19.2) 20%
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -6.4 (-1.6) 129.8 (+20.2) 23%
Baseline ML WIU -5.4 (-2.6) 130.2 (+19.8) 25%
Baseline Plus ML WIU -5.5 (-2.5) 129.7 (+20.3) 25%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 LIN 9169 WIU
Dec 19, 2025 LIN 9276 WIU
Feb 26, 2025 WIU 8681 LIN
Dec 21, 2024 LIN 7165 WIU
Jan 6, 2024 WIU 6857 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LIN WIU
Overall 9-22 21-12
Conference 3-15 13-5
Home 4-10 10-5
Away 3-12 10-6
Neutral 2-0 1-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 63.4 66.0
Avg Pts Against 74.9 67.4
Massey -13.9 (#345) -4.6 (#253)
Bradley-Terry -2.24 (#341) -0.20 (#199)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.88 (#340) -0.01 (#172)
RPI 0.386 (#342) 0.491 (#187)
Shooting & Four Factors LIN WIU
FG% 39.3% 41.3%
3PT% 28.8% 32.5%
REB / G 31.3 40.1
OREB / G 8.5 14.0
AST / TO 0.58 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.7% 46.1%
TOV% 18.4% 21.3%
ORB% 24.0% 37.4%
FT Rate 28.6% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.8% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 14.2%
DRB% 71.1% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 30.3% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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