Betting Lines
| Spread | LIN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LIN -140 WIU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -4.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -1.0 (+5.0) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -2.0 (+4.0) | 135.7 (+0.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -1.9 (+4.1) | 135.8 (+0.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -1.2 (+4.8) | 134.5 (+1.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIN 91 – 69 WIU |
| Dec 19, 2025 | LIN 92 – 76 WIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WIU 86 – 81 LIN |
| Feb 2, 2024 | WIU 79 – 71 LIN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WIU 68 – 57 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#321) | -10.2 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#316) | -1.02 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#336) | -2.45 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#294) | 0.434 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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