I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Ohio Valley Conference · Western Hall · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WIU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money WIU -275 / LIN +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIU win
Actual WIU +11 125 Won
Massey WIU -11.3 (-0.3)
Massey Totals 133.8 (-8.8)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML WIU -9.4 (+1.6) 135.1 (-10.1) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML WIU -9.0 (+2.0) 132.6 (-7.6) 83%
Baseline ML WIU -9.1 (+1.9) 133.4 (-8.4) 81%
Baseline Plus ML WIU -8.7 (+2.3) 134.6 (-9.6) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 LIN 9169 WIU
Dec 19, 2025 LIN 9276 WIU
Feb 26, 2025 WIU 8681 LIN
Dec 21, 2024 LIN 7165 WIU
Feb 2, 2024 WIU 7971 LIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIU LIN
Overall 21-12 9-22
Conference 13-5 3-15
Home 10-5 4-10
Away 10-6 3-12
Neutral 1-1 2-0
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 66.0 63.4
Avg Pts Against 67.4 74.9
Massey -5.7 (#273) -12.6 (#341)
Bradley-Terry -0.50 (#227) -2.13 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.59 (#221) -2.81 (#330)
RPI 0.473 (#222) 0.391 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors WIU LIN
FG% 41.1% 37.8%
3PT% 30.7% 29.0%
REB / G 39.9 31.8
OREB / G 13.5 8.3
AST / TO 0.85 0.55
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.7% 42.4%
TOV% 20.9% 18.2%
ORB% 35.5% 22.5%
FT Rate 22.9% 29.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 13.9% 17.3%
DRB% 70.5% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 34.7%

Game Analysis

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