Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -1400 SFPA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -15.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -11.1 (-10.1) | 137.9 (-12.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -11.1 (-10.1) | 138.6 (-13.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -11.3 (-10.3) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -11.3 (-10.3) | 137.7 (-12.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 64 SFPA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCSU 98 – 90 SFPA |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SFPA 46 – 43 CCSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CCSU 83 – 67 SFPA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCSU 74 – 59 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#228) | -15.0 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#226) | -2.27 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#240) | -3.24 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#221) | 0.385 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.