Central Connecticut
Blue Devils
43
–
46
FINAL
Conference
Northeast Conference
Saint Francis
Red Wolves
Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -900 SFPA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +3 | 89 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -12.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-49.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -11.7 (-14.7) | 134.0 (-45.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -11.1 (-14.1) | 135.5 (-46.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -12.0 (-15.0) | 134.5 (-45.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -10.8 (-13.8) | 136.7 (-47.7) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 64 SFPA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCSU 98 – 90 SFPA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CCSU 83 – 67 SFPA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCSU 74 – 59 SFPA |
| Mar 7, 2024 | CCSU 71 – 62 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-7 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 12-3 | 6-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#175) | -9.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#133) | -1.31 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#152) | -1.75 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#104) | 0.481 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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