Central Connecticut
Blue Devils
71
–
62
FINAL
Conference
Northeast Conference
Saint Francis
Red Wolves
Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -1400 SFPA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -14.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -10.5 (-1.5) | 136.5 (-3.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -11.6 (-2.6) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -11.2 (-2.2) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -11.6 (-2.6) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CCSU 69 – 64 SFPA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CCSU 98 – 90 SFPA |
| Mar 11, 2025 | SFPA 46 – 43 CCSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CCSU 83 – 67 SFPA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CCSU 74 – 59 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#248) | -15.2 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#225) | -2.69 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#253) | -3.62 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#189) | 0.382 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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