Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BUF +250 KENT -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +31 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -8.8 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -9.0 (-22.0) | 143.3 (-8.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -8.7 (-22.3) | 143.9 (-8.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -9.3 (-21.7) | 144.3 (-9.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -10.0 (-21.0) | 146.0 (-11.0) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENT 74 – 68 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 2-13 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#343) | -1.1 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#356) | -0.42 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.77 (#354) | -0.44 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#330) | 0.488 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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