Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | BUF +110 KENT -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +6 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | BUF -4.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUF -1.7 (-7.7) | 158.0 (+10.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUF -3.4 (-9.4) | 158.5 (+9.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BUF -3.9 (-9.9) | 160.3 (+7.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUF -4.5 (-10.5) | 159.5 (+8.5) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENT 74 – 68 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 82.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#93) | 0.74 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#100) | 0.85 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#88) | 0.555 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.7% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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