Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BUF +145 KENT -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +7 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -5.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -5.0 (-2.0) | 151.8 (-14.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -2.5 (-4.5) | 148.9 (-11.9) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -4.8 (-2.2) | 149.9 (-12.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -4.6 (-2.4) | 150.5 (-13.5) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENT 74 – 68 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#188) | 8.2 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#207) | 1.62 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#207) | 1.74 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#194) | 0.580 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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