Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -600 BUF +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +6 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -13.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -9.8 (-3.8) | 149.6 (-7.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -11.9 (-5.9) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -12.0 (-6.0) | 149.4 (-7.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -11.4 (-5.4) | 150.0 (-8.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#54) | -0.7 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#40) | -0.29 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#51) | -0.35 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#39) | 0.490 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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