And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Mid-American Conference · M.A.C. Center · January 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -10.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money KENT -600 / BUF +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENT win
Actual KENT +6 142 Won
Massey KENT -13.5 (-7.5) — —
Massey Totals — 147.7 (-5.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENT -11.4 (-5.4) 150.0 (-8.0) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENT -9.8 (-3.8) 149.6 (-7.6) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -11.9 (-5.9) 150.1 (-8.1) 88% ✓
Baseline ML KENT -12.0 (-6.0) 149.4 (-7.4) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 13, 2026 KENT 87 – 81 BUF
Jan 10, 2025 KENT 68 – 49 BUF
Feb 28, 2024 KENT 76 – 64 BUF
Feb 2, 2024 KENT 83 – 52 BUF
Feb 10, 2023 KENT 72 – 65 BUF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENT BUF
Overall 28-7 15-17
Conference 15-3 9-9
Home 15-0 11-4
Away 9-6 3-9
Neutral 4-1 1-4
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 75.4
Avg Pts Against 66.5 79.0
Massey 9.3 (#54) -0.7 (#183)
Bradley-Terry 1.96 (#40) -0.29 (#203)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.20 (#51) -0.35 (#204)
RPI 0.590 (#39) 0.490 (#189)
Shooting & Four Factors KENT BUF
FG% 43.5% 45.3%
3PT% 33.6% 32.4%
REB / G 34.1 37.3
OREB / G 10.0 11.8
AST / TO 1.06 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 50.5%
TOV% 16.1% 19.9%
ORB% 27.8% 31.8%
FT Rate 21.6% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.7% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 23.8% 19.2%
DRB% 69.7% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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