Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -2000 BUF +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -17.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -15.3 (-3.3) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -13.7 (-1.7) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -12.9 (-0.9) | 144.7 (-4.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -13.8 (-1.8) | 144.9 (-4.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENT 74 – 68 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-13 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#163) | -13.5 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#215) | -2.57 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#210) | -3.23 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#201) | 0.407 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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