Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BUF +425 KENT -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +19 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -9.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -10.5 (-8.5) | 138.5 (-21.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -11.4 (-7.6) | 139.0 (-22.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -9.7 (-9.3) | 135.9 (-18.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -9.6 (-9.4) | 137.2 (-20.2) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
| Jan 28, 2023 | KENT 74 – 68 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.6 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#335) | 2.0 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#303) | 1.03 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#328) | 1.10 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#282) | 0.547 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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