Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -138 STET +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -0.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -0.3 (+7.3) | 150.0 (+1.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -0.3 (+6.7) | 149.4 (+1.6) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -0.0 (+7.0) | 150.8 (+0.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -0.2 (+6.8) | 150.4 (+0.6) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNA 68 – 66 STET |
| Jan 1, 2026 | STET 70 – 67 UNA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNA 92 – 64 STET |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STET 79 – 57 UNA |
| Jan 8, 2023 | STET 95 – 85 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#257) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#278) | 0.19 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#275) | -0.24 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#285) | 0.517 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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