Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UNA -485 STET +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -12.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -10.2 (-13.2) | 136.0 (+1.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -12.3 (-15.3) | 138.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -9.5 (-12.5) | 134.9 (+2.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -9.8 (-12.8) | 135.6 (+1.4) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNA 68 – 66 STET |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNA 92 – 64 STET |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UNA 79 – 72 STET |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STET 79 – 57 UNA |
| Jan 8, 2023 | STET 95 – 85 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#279) | -15.9 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#242) | -2.09 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#244) | -2.58 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#246) | 0.398 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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