They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
North Alabama Lions
67 70
FINAL Conference
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · Flowers Hall · January 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread UNA -9.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money UNA -485 / STET +370
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual STET +3 137 Lost
Massey UNA -12.7 (-15.7)
Massey Totals 143.1 (-6.1)
Bradley-Terry 88%
Weighted B-T 89%
Efficiency Plus ML UNA -12.3 (-15.3) 138.1 (-1.1) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML UNA -9.5 (-12.5) 134.9 (+2.1) 86%
Baseline ML UNA -9.8 (-12.8) 135.6 (+1.4) 89%
Baseline Plus ML UNA -10.2 (-13.2) 136.0 (+1.0) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 UNA 6866 STET
Jan 11, 2025 UNA 9264 STET
Feb 2, 2024 UNA 7972 STET
Feb 3, 2023 STET 7957 UNA
Jan 8, 2023 STET 9585 UNA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA STET
Overall 9-21 12-21
Conference 4-14 7-11
Home 5-8 9-5
Away 4-12 2-14
Neutral 0-1 1-2
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.9 71.9
Avg Pts Against 78.0 79.9
Massey -7.1 (#279) -15.9 (#353)
Bradley-Terry -0.71 (#242) -2.09 (#325)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.20 (#244) -2.58 (#316)
RPI 0.464 (#246) 0.398 (#337)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA STET
FG% 39.7% 39.9%
3PT% 31.6% 30.0%
REB / G 36.0 29.8
OREB / G 12.0 8.8
AST / TO 0.89 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.1% 46.5%
TOV% 16.7% 19.5%
ORB% 31.5% 24.2%
FT Rate 23.2% 19.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.6% 58.4%
Opp TOV% 13.8% 17.0%
DRB% 65.5% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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