Betting Lines
| Spread | UNA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | STET +260 UNA -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +28 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UNA -9.5 (-18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -9.3 (-18.7) | 148.2 (+7.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -8.4 (-19.6) | 148.0 (+8.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -9.9 (-18.1) | 149.1 (+6.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -9.6 (-18.4) | 148.9 (+7.1) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNA 68 – 66 STET |
| Jan 1, 2026 | STET 70 – 67 UNA |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UNA 79 – 72 STET |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STET 79 – 57 UNA |
| Jan 8, 2023 | STET 95 – 85 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 5-9 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#343) | 1.2 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#349) | -0.10 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#344) | -0.05 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#345) | 0.480 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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