Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | STET -188 UNA +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +22 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | STET -9.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -7.1 (+14.9) | 154.5 (-18.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -7.7 (+14.3) | 149.7 (-13.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -7.1 (+14.9) | 153.3 (-17.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -6.6 (+15.4) | 154.5 (-18.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNA 68 – 66 STET |
| Jan 1, 2026 | STET 70 – 67 UNA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNA 92 – 64 STET |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UNA 79 – 72 STET |
| Jan 8, 2023 | STET 95 – 85 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#183) | -6.7 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#146) | -0.23 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#140) | -0.72 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#122) | 0.483 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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