Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UNA +140 STET -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +10 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -2.3 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -1.7 (-8.3) | 145.3 (+34.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -1.4 (-8.6) | 146.8 (+33.2) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -1.5 (-8.5) | 144.9 (+35.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -2.1 (-7.9) | 145.5 (+34.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNA 68 – 66 STET |
| Jan 1, 2026 | STET 70 – 67 UNA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNA 92 – 64 STET |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UNA 79 – 72 STET |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STET 79 – 57 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#297) | -0.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#200) | 0.41 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#251) | 0.50 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#223) | 0.535 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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