Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | STET -122 UNA +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -3.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -3.2 (-5.2) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -1.9 (-3.9) | 144.4 (-10.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -3.3 (-5.3) | 141.9 (-7.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -3.7 (-5.7) | 144.1 (-10.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | STET 70 – 67 UNA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNA 92 – 64 STET |
| Feb 2, 2024 | UNA 79 – 72 STET |
| Feb 3, 2023 | STET 79 – 57 UNA |
| Jan 8, 2023 | STET 95 – 85 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#330) | -12.4 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#285) | -2.06 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#286) | -2.80 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#303) | 0.394 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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