Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -2.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Over
Money WRST -150 / YSU +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual YSU +11 165 Lost
Massey WRST -0.4 (-11.4) — —
Massey Totals — 167.6 (-2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 57% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -0.9 (-10.1) 157.0 (+8.0) 46% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -1.2 (-9.8) 159.5 (+5.5) 33% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -1.3 (-9.7) 160.0 (+5.0) 35% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -1.1 (-9.9) 159.5 (+5.5) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 16, 2026 WRST 93 – 83 YSU
Dec 3, 2025 YSU 69 – 68 WRST
Jan 30, 2025 YSU 88 – 86 WRST
Dec 19, 2024 YSU 80 – 70 WRST
Jan 13, 2024 YSU 81 – 71 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST YSU
Overall 18-14 22-10
Conference 13-7 14-6
Home 9-7 14-3
Away 7-6 8-7
Neutral 2-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 86.2 78.4
Avg Pts Against 82.8 72.4
Massey 1.3 (#147) 4.5 (#107)
Bradley-Terry 0.01 (#174) 0.40 (#138)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.04 (#169) 0.48 (#144)
RPI 0.525 (#129) 0.523 (#134)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST YSU
FG% 53.3% 44.4%
3PT% 39.1% 33.3%
REB / G 33.4 38.2
OREB / G 8.7 11.9
AST / TO 1.35 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.7% 51.4%
TOV% 16.3% 15.7%
ORB% 28.2% 32.7%
FT Rate 24.9% 20.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.4% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 17.0%
DRB% 70.4% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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