Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -150 YSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +11 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -0.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.3 (-9.7) | 160.0 (+5.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | YSU -1.2 (-9.8) | 159.5 (+5.5) | 33% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | YSU -0.9 (-10.1) | 157.0 (+8.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.1 (-9.9) | 159.5 (+5.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | YSU 81 – 71 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#147) | 4.5 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#174) | 0.40 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#169) | 0.48 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.523 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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