Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -320 YSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -9.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -8.1 (-18.1) | 140.4 (+9.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -6.5 (-16.5) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -7.7 (-17.7) | 142.9 (+7.1) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -7.2 (-17.2) | 139.9 (+10.1) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | YSU 81 – 71 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#129) | -3.8 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#114) | -0.63 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#99) | -0.94 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#113) | 0.432 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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