Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -205 YSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +10 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -8.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+34.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -7.6 (+2.4) | 140.8 (+35.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -6.7 (+3.3) | 143.0 (+33.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -8.7 (+1.3) | 142.6 (+33.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -7.8 (+2.2) | 140.9 (+35.1) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | YSU 81 – 71 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#123) | -2.1 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#133) | -0.79 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#116) | -1.06 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#120) | 0.446 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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