Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -185 WRST +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -2.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.3 (-1.3) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.2 (-1.2) | 144.9 (-7.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.0 (-1.0) | 142.2 (-5.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.8 (-0.8) | 143.2 (-6.2) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | YSU 81 – 71 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#180) | 2.1 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#200) | -0.99 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#221) | -1.37 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#207) | 0.508 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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