Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -120 WRST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -2.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.9 (+7.1) | 160.2 (-8.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -3.2 (+6.8) | 157.7 (-5.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.6 (+7.4) | 160.5 (-8.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.1 (+7.9) | 161.6 (-9.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | YSU 88 – 86 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#154) | 2.1 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#148) | -0.01 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#149) | 0.09 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#148) | 0.505 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 53.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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