Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -135 WRST +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +2 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -1.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.6 (+0.4) | 145.1 (+28.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.9 (+1.1) | 145.8 (+28.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.8 (+1.2) | 146.5 (+27.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -0.4 (+1.6) | 146.2 (+27.8) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | WRST 93 – 83 YSU |
| Dec 3, 2025 | YSU 69 – 68 WRST |
| Dec 19, 2024 | YSU 80 – 70 WRST |
| Feb 2, 2024 | YSU 88 – 77 WRST |
| Jan 13, 2024 | YSU 81 – 71 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#214) | -1.2 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#209) | -0.26 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#204) | -0.17 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#240) | 0.502 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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