Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–15 on winners spread MAE 8.0 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ UCF -2.0 139.5 41% 77–69 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia +11.0 124.4 84% 53–65 ✓
Wake Forest @ Pittsburgh +2.7 140.9 67% 72–77 ✓
Cincinnati @ West Virginia -7.2 141.4 29% 65–69 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulsa -0.3 151.4 60% 68–79 ✗
South Florida @ East Carolina +0.4 137.2 53% 71–60 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Presbyterian +0.7 143.3 57% 73–80 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +0.6 148.1 54% 73–80 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Radford +10.3 138.8 84% 63–60 ✗
Army @ Colgate +12.4 127.5 84% 55–74 ✓
Navy @ Lehigh +2.8 138.6 62% 65–77 ✓
Chicago State @ Duquesne +13.3 132.6 86% 60–65 ✓
American University @ Lafayette -0.8 131.2 40% 69–66 ✓
La Salle @ Rhode Island +2.2 148.2 61% 69–71 ✓
Richmond @ Fordham -2.4 140.4 38% 83–69 ✓
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's +2.4 139.4 67% 73–75 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Bucknell +7.5 132.9 80% 52–67 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Mercer +1.1 133.9 53% 54–49 ✗
Furman @ The Citadel -5.4 144.7 26% 82–79 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina +3.6 147.0 62% 91–85 ✗
Lipscomb @ North Florida -1.4 151.6 47% 76–85 ✗
Austin Peay @ Jacksonville -1.2 139.8 53% 43–63 ✗
Indiana State @ Belmont -8.5 159.5 23% 78–72 ✓
Wofford @ Samford +10.8 156.6 86% 79–81 ✓
Florida @ Kentucky +5.4 166.9 68% 94–91 ✗
Rice @ Memphis +13.3 152.1 86% 74–71 ✗
Missouri State @ Southern Illinois +5.7 132.1 73% 76–75 ✗
UIC @ Evansville +1.4 139.9 62% 60–77 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +18.3 144.9 90% 70–81 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +7.8 140.5 79% 69–85 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +13.3 143.4 87% 72–80 ✓
Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M +3.7 140.8 70% 66–71 ✓
Providence @ UConn +12.1 139.8 87% 65–74 ✓
Penn State @ Rutgers +5.1 143.2 72% 61–46 ✗
Arkansas @ Missouri +3.3 145.0 62% 91–84 ✗
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State +3.4 146.4 65% 71–78 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Auburn +17.0 139.7 90% 54–81 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +8.4 126.5 71% 82–79 ✗
Boise State @ New Mexico +9.1 143.3 78% 86–78 ✗
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +11.2 132.5 85% 77–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +13.7 136.2 88% 56–79 ✓
NJIT @ Binghamton +5.4 139.7 69% 66–75 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +10.5 135.4 82% 62–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.