Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN -111 UIC -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -1.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -2.3 (+14.7) | 141.2 (-4.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -1.4 (+15.6) | 139.9 (-2.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -1.3 (+15.7) | 138.6 (-1.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -1.0 (+16.0) | 139.5 (-2.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UIC 84 – 46 EVAN |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UIC 76 – 49 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UIC 82 – 77 EVAN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UIC 78 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UIC 88 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#228) | -0.6 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#148) | -0.89 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#175) | -0.52 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#132) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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