Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN +210 UIC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -6.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -6.3 (-4.7) | 140.0 (+5.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -6.3 (-4.7) | 137.9 (+7.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -5.5 (-5.5) | 139.3 (+5.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -5.3 (-5.7) | 139.8 (+5.2) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UIC 84 – 46 EVAN |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UIC 76 – 49 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UIC 82 – 77 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UIC 88 – 79 EVAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | EVAN 77 – 60 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#287) | 2.0 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#278) | 1.00 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#257) | 0.88 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#290) | 0.570 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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