Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +310 UIC -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +38 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -8.2 (-29.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -7.8 (-30.2) | 139.4 (-9.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.8 (-30.2) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -8.4 (-29.6) | 139.6 (-9.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -8.7 (-29.3) | 138.9 (-8.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UIC 76 – 49 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UIC 82 – 77 EVAN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UIC 78 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UIC 88 – 79 EVAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | EVAN 77 – 60 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-10 | 9-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#288) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#312) | 0.15 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#295) | 0.35 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#302) | 0.513 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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