Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -320 EVAN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -9.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -8.6 (-3.6) | 141.3 (+17.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -7.7 (-2.7) | 140.2 (+18.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.9 (-2.9) | 138.4 (+20.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -8.4 (-3.4) | 139.2 (+19.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UIC 84 – 46 EVAN |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UIC 76 – 49 EVAN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UIC 78 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UIC 88 – 79 EVAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | EVAN 77 – 60 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#142) | -5.4 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#135) | -0.55 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#131) | -0.68 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.477 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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