Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -188 EVAN +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -3.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -2.1 (+6.9) | 141.8 (+25.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -2.9 (+6.1) | 140.7 (+26.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.9 (+7.1) | 140.5 (+26.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -1.8 (+7.2) | 140.8 (+26.2) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UIC 84 – 46 EVAN |
| Jan 21, 2026 | UIC 76 – 49 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UIC 82 – 77 EVAN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UIC 78 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | EVAN 77 – 60 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#185) | -1.8 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#239) | 0.27 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#209) | 0.14 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#245) | 0.510 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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