Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UIC -425 EVAN +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +27 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -9.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -8.9 (+18.1) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -8.9 (+18.1) | 133.2 (-8.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -8.2 (+18.8) | 131.9 (-6.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -8.7 (+18.3) | 132.0 (-7.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UIC 84 – 46 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UIC 82 – 77 EVAN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UIC 78 – 67 EVAN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UIC 88 – 79 EVAN |
| Feb 1, 2024 | EVAN 77 – 60 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#156) | -6.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#219) | -1.36 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#198) | -1.50 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#211) | 0.466 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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