In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–8 on winners spread MAE 8.7 33 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Georgia Tech -11.1 151.5 19% 73–74 ✗
Marquette @ Villanova +1.2 141.1 45% 85–80 ✗
Illinois @ Ohio State -2.3 144.7 53% 87–75 ✓
Texas Tech @ TCU +5.6 149.1 76% 78–85 ✓
George Washington @ Dayton +14.1 149.4 87% 61–83 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College +1.5 146.9 59% 75–80 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana -1.0 155.6 48% 68–74 ✗
VCU @ St. Bonaventure +3.2 134.8 67% 62–67 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan +2.3 140.4 72% 77–84 ✓
Buffalo @ Ohio +11.6 143.5 85% 70–91 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ball State +0.8 145.4 52% 81–72 ✗
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -13.3 133.6 14% 77–46 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State +7.8 145.0 78% 71–67 ✗
Western Michigan @ Toledo +12.3 149.5 86% 63–88 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas State +1.0 138.7 61% 73–53 ✗
Illinois State @ Murray State +5.0 129.5 70% 61–59 ✗
Saint Louis @ Loyola Chicago +6.8 144.3 80% 62–77 ✓
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss +0.4 138.7 62% 82–86 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Lindenwood +2.3 137.2 62% 54–58 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Kansas +12.4 141.6 87% 54–83 ✓
San José State @ Utah State +14.7 150.0 88% 61–82 ✓
Louisville @ Clemson +17.4 150.4 89% 64–70 ✓
Miami @ NC State +2.5 149.2 60% 68–74 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +11.1 146.4 86% 62–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul -12.3 140.3 15% 72–39 ✓
San Diego State @ Colorado State +0.9 142.0 57% 71–79 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force +1.0 140.3 59% 83–72 ✗
Fresno State @ UNLV +10.5 141.4 83% 69–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +13.6 146.7 88% 58–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -13.1 150.2 13% 85–79 ✓
Northwestern @ Purdue +14.2 146.4 87% 96–105 ✓
Alabama @ Georgia -7.8 168.6 20% 85–76 ✓
St. John's @ Xavier +2.5 150.3 69% 77–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.