Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +500 AKR -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +31 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -13.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -13.3 (-17.7) | 133.6 (-10.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -12.2 (-18.8) | 134.6 (-11.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -11.5 (-19.5) | 135.0 (-12.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -11.6 (-19.4) | 135.4 (-12.4) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Feb 15, 2023 | AKR 78 – 51 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#336) | 5.3 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#290) | 1.20 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#308) | 1.63 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#312) | 0.564 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.