Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -1600 EMU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +21 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -18.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -14.6 (+6.4) | 151.9 (+13.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -16.8 (+4.2) | 152.6 (+12.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -14.2 (+6.8) | 148.2 (+16.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -14.6 (+6.4) | 149.7 (+15.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | AKR 78 – 51 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-0 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#50) | -2.6 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#83) | 0.06 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#97) | -0.21 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#61) | 0.482 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 42.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.95 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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