Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -10000 EMU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +1 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -19.9 (-20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -15.2 (-16.2) | 135.3 (-14.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -16.4 (-17.4) | 133.0 (-12.0) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -14.6 (-15.6) | 133.5 (-12.5) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -15.5 (-16.5) | 133.9 (-12.9) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | AKR 78 – 51 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#105) | -11.7 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#91) | -1.34 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#99) | -1.92 (#314) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#49) | 0.422 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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