Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +650 AKR -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -11.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -11.0 (+9.0) | 151.9 (-21.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -9.9 (+7.9) | 150.4 (-20.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -10.1 (+8.1) | 152.5 (-22.5) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -9.6 (+7.6) | 151.5 (-21.5) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
| Feb 15, 2023 | AKR 78 – 51 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 17-1 |
| Home | 7-7 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-14 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#213) | 11.1 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#216) | 1.82 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#215) | 2.16 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#238) | 0.591 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 59.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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