Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | EMU +350 AKR -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +27 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -8.8 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -9.3 (-17.7) | 148.2 (-19.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -7.6 (-19.4) | 149.4 (-20.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -7.6 (-19.4) | 150.2 (-21.2) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -8.0 (-19.0) | 150.7 (-21.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | AKR 66 – 64 EMU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | AKR 93 – 72 EMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AKR 105 – 81 EMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | EMU 61 – 60 AKR |
| Jan 31, 2024 | AKR 77 – 46 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#310) | 4.2 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#326) | 0.70 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#329) | 0.66 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#334) | 0.538 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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