Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -500 SLU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -10.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -9.0 (+6.0) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -6.8 (+8.2) | 144.3 (-5.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -9.2 (+5.8) | 143.5 (-4.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -9.8 (+5.2) | 143.8 (-4.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SLU 79 – 65 LUC |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SLU 86 – 59 LUC |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LUC 72 – 64 SLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SLU 98 – 67 LUC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LUC 78 – 69 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#124) | -4.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#109) | -0.11 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#118) | -0.39 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#96) | 0.502 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.