Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -135 LUC +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +31 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -3.5 (+27.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -2.2 (+28.8) | 141.0 (+24.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -1.5 (+29.5) | 142.9 (+22.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -1.5 (+29.5) | 143.0 (+22.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -1.8 (+29.2) | 144.1 (+20.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SLU 79 – 65 LUC |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SLU 86 – 59 LUC |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LUC 72 – 64 SLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LUC 78 – 69 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LUC 77 – 62 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#115) | 2.7 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#122) | 0.90 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#110) | 1.13 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#98) | 0.543 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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