Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | LUC +1100 SLU -2100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +27 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -25.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -16.7 (-10.3) | 150.0 (-5.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -12.5 (-14.5) | 151.6 (-6.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -20.6 (-6.4) | 149.0 (-4.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -18.5 (-8.5) | 150.7 (-5.7) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SLU 79 – 65 LUC |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LUC 72 – 64 SLU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SLU 98 – 67 LUC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LUC 78 – 69 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LUC 77 – 62 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-10 | 19-0 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#300) | 19.2 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#303) | 3.42 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#310) | 4.86 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#319) | 0.635 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 51.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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