Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -125 SLU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -1.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.4 (+8.4) | 142.5 (-6.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -0.8 (+7.2) | 144.2 (-8.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -0.1 (+7.9) | 142.5 (-6.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -0.8 (+8.8) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | SLU 79 – 65 LUC |
| Feb 14, 2026 | SLU 86 – 59 LUC |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SLU 98 – 67 LUC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LUC 78 – 69 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2024 | LUC 77 – 62 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#124) | 3.9 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#98) | 0.70 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#95) | 0.94 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#96) | 0.547 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.