Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -1200 GW +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +22 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -15.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -14.4 (+7.6) | 148.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -14.1 (+7.9) | 149.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -13.9 (+8.1) | 148.2 (-4.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -13.2 (+8.8) | 147.8 (-3.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DAY 68 – 66 GW |
| Jan 7, 2026 | DAY 79 – 72 GW |
| Jan 4, 2025 | GW 82 – 62 DAY |
| Jan 21, 2023 | GW 76 – 69 DAY |
| Feb 12, 2022 | DAY 80 – 54 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#34) | 0.7 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#8) | 0.59 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#7) | 0.55 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#6) | 0.516 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.