All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Big East Conference · Wintrust Arena · January 31, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -10.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money DEP +400 / HALL -600
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEP win
Actual HALL +33 111 Lost
Massey HALL -12.0 (-21.0)
Massey Totals 142.5 (-31.5)
Bradley-Terry 8%
Weighted B-T 5%
Efficiency Plus ML HALL -12.3 (-20.7) 140.3 (-29.3) 15%
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -12.0 (-21.0) 142.3 (-31.3) 15%
Baseline ML HALL -12.2 (-20.8) 144.0 (-33.0) 15%
Baseline Plus ML HALL -12.0 (-21.0) 141.0 (-30.0) 15%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 DEP 6957 HALL
Jan 24, 2026 DEP 6760 HALL
Feb 2, 2025 DEP 7457 HALL
Jan 8, 2025 HALL 8580 DEP
Mar 10, 2024 HALL 8662 DEP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEP HALL
Overall 3-29 25-12
Conference 0-20 13-7
Home 3-15 17-4
Away 0-11 5-6
Neutral 0-3 3-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L20 W5
Avg Pts For 64.7 73.8
Avg Pts Against 81.8 69.9
Massey -7.3 (#295) 8.3 (#71)
Bradley-Terry -1.65 (#319) 1.48 (#71)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.81 (#300) 1.97 (#68)
RPI 0.447 (#272) 0.563 (#80)
Shooting & Four Factors DEP HALL
FG% 43.1% 44.9%
3PT% 34.5% 32.3%
REB / G 29.9 38.5
OREB / G 7.0 13.5
AST / TO 0.99 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 49.6%
TOV% 19.3% 19.4%
ORB% 21.6% 38.7%
FT Rate 23.2% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.7% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 14.9% 18.1%
DRB% 68.6% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.9% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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